Tag: 538

How can you lose a referendum and then win the election?

Professor John Curtice writes at FiveThirtyEight on the SNP and the upcoming General Election vote in Scotland: There are three main parts to the answer. The first is that May’s election is being held under very different rules from the referendum. Second, the question of what Scotland’s constitutional status should be now matters more to voters than it did in the past. And third, the SNP has come to be regarded by many voters as the party keenest on creating a more equal society. At 45 percent, the average level of support for the SNP in current Scotland-wide polls matches

Statistically, #Irene was only the tenth most popular hurricane

Do hurricanes receive too much media coverage? …I don’t know. What’s easier to evaluate is how much coverage Hurricane Irene received in comparison with other hurricanes. By that standard, the coverage was quite proportionate to the amount of death and destruction that the storm caused. Sometimes I wish I could get Nate Silver interested in Eurovision stats…